الثلاثاء، 8 أبريل 2025

The Great Depression 2.0? Why This Crash Could Last Longer Than You Think

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The Great Depression 2.0? Why This Crash Could Last Longer Than You Think

The sell-off we are living through right now is moving fast — almost too fast — but that doesn’t mean the pain is going to be over quickly.

If you zoom out and study the bigger picture, there are some eerie similarities to the 1929 crash and the Great Depression that followed. We’re not there yet, but the setup is worth paying attention to. 

The S&P 500 (SPY) has dropped sharply, and if the pattern plays out the way it did back then, we could be staring down a multi-year correction instead of a quick bounce.


A Dangerous Pattern Is Taking Shape

One of the key similarities between today’s market and the 1929 setup is the formation of a bubble top. Back then, markets ripped higher in a final, euphoric push before reality set in. 

We are seeing the same thing now — a massive rally followed by a sudden breakdown that has erased trillions of dollars in value in a flash.

The S&P 500 (SPY) isn’t alone. The Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) and the Russell 2000 (IWM) are also breaking major support levels. What’s even more concerning is that valuations are still stretched compared to historical norms. 

If earnings expectations keep sliding, stocks could have a lot further to fall.

Remember, the Great Depression wasn’t just a one-and-done crash. It was a series of brutal drops and failed rallies that dragged on for years. 

We could see something similar now — a few sharp rallies that lure people back in, only to wipe them out again as the market continues its long grind lower.


What Comes Next

Right now, the big risk is that we haven’t even finished the first leg down. If history is any guide, the market could eventually chop sideways for a while before another major drop takes hold. 

This would match the “bubble unwind” pattern we saw nearly 100 years ago.

In the short term, we’re watching key levels on major indexes. If we slice through support again, it opens the door to a full retracement of the 2023 rally. Longer term, if earnings disappoint and valuations compress, the S&P 500 (SPY) could drop to 3,500 or even 3,100.

It’s not just stocks flashing warning signs either. 

Bitcoin, gold, silver, oil — they’re all under pressure. Global liquidity is tightening, and the warning signs are stacking up fast.
It’s not about fearmongering. It’s about understanding where we are in the cycle and being ready for the possibility that this isn’t just another “buy the dip” moment. The easy money phase is over. The hard part may just be getting started.

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Is Gold About to Rip Again? 
 
 
With a forensic audit of the Gold reserves at Fort Knox looming, Gold could see a repricing that will set the pace for its price action in coming weeks.
 
 
 

 
 
How to Leverage the Gold Repricing
Jeffry Turnmire
Jeffry Turnmire Trading

I host my “Morning Monster” livestream at 9:15 a.m. ET each weekday on YouTube, and then “30 Minutes of Awesome” at 5 p.m. ET each Tuesday!

Please check out my channel and hit that Subscribe button!

I’m just a regular dude in Knoxville, Tennessee: a husband, father, civil engineer, urban farmer, maker and trader.

I've been at this trading thing with real money for 20-plus years, and started paper trading over 35 years ago. I have a knack for making some epic predictions that just may very well come true. Why share them? Because I like helping other people — it's the Eagle Scout in me. 


*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. 
   
 

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