الخميس، 11 يوليو 2024

Warren Buffett's "mystery stock"

Dear Reader,

Warren Buffett finally unveiled the "mystery stock" he's kept under wraps for the last year - he’s bought more than $6 billion of insurance company Chubb. 

But there's an even bigger investment Buffett has set his sights on next ... and he's even teamed up with Bill Gates to do it.

A growing stream of tech billionaires are jumping onboard - like Jeff Bezos, Marc Benioff, and Peter Thiel.

In fact, billionaire and OpenAI CEO Sam Altman is personally investing $375 million.

What's got some of history's richest investors so excited?

It's a groundbreaking new technology that's about to roll out across the country .

And these billionaires know, like I do, that this technology could create more wealth than any invention of the last 100 years.

Early estimates say it could create more wealth than A.I., the automobile, the smartphone, and the computer -  combined .

It could even be worth 20 times more than Nvidia.

If you're wondering how I know all this... 

My name is Whitney Tilson. I'm a former hedge-fund manager who's spotted some of the top-performing stocks of the last 25 years, before they became household names.

It's how I got noticed by media outlets like CNBC, which nicknamed me "The Prophet" because of the accuracy of my predictions.

I told people to buy Netflix back in 2012, calling it "the next Amazon" - which I also bought, by the way, back in 1999. (Amazon later went on to soar as much as 7,356%.)

When I recommended Netflix, it was trading for just $7.78 a share. Less than nine years later, it rose more than 90 times , peaking at more than $700.

The story I'm sharing today could be bigger than all that.

You can find all the details in this briefing I've just released to the public, for a limited time .

I have to warn you: Just like with some of my past predictions, I expect 99% of folks will still miss out on this. That's the way these things go, unfortunately.

This time, the stakes are much higher... which is why I'm doing everything I can to get this story in front of as many folks as possible.

But the window to act is closing fast, and I don't want you to miss it.

So please, make time to watch my newest prediction - and find out the name of what could be the #1 investment of the next decade .

Regards,

Whitney Tilson
Editor, Stansberry Research

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xpdt_11201803

Before you buy up AVGO…

Check out exactly what NOT to do for this huge stock split
 
   
     
Smart investors have a heck of an opportunity with AVGO’s 10-for-1 stock split on July 12th.
 
 
But it also exposes the stock to a lot of what veteran trader Jack Carter calls "dumb money."

Because the average investor will likely play this opportunity all wrong by making the TOP mistake you want to avoid.

What if there was a way to take advantage of all the “dumb money” that will flood AVGO's stock once its shares start selling for 10 times lesser?

We’re not talking about some boring options strategy...

We’re talking about a way to target actual cash while most retail traders end up on the wrong side of things and leave piles of money on the table.

Which is why Jack wants to show you exactly what NOT to do and what he’s going to do instead.

We cannot promise future returns, or against losses because the markets are unpredictable.

But if you’re interested in discovering what Jack believes is the one and ONLY “right way” to play the AVGO stock split, follow this link.

Hope you do it now,

Your friends at ProsperityPub
   
 

Following Uncle Warren Could Be Hazardous For Your Wealth

(the rich are not like us)
 
   
     
   
 
JULY 11, 2024
   
PROSPERITY PUB MARKET TALK
Following Uncle Warren Could Be Hazardous For Your Wealth
 

If you follow financial media at all, there's a popular type of article that you'll often see: "Warren Buffett just bought tons of XYZ stock" or "Warren Buffett just sold off his entire stake in ABC company."

While these articles get lots of attention, they're usually nothing but fluff because most traders aren't trading with the same scale, goals or timeframe as Warren Buffett.

Not only does Uncle Warren have A LOT more money than the average trader, he's trading on a whole different level — and often doing things “behind the scenes” that amount to more than just buying and holding.

Let's look at a couple of examples.

Back in 2020, a big deal was made when news outlets, after inspecting Buffett's latest 13F filing, found that he "changed his tune" on gold. (He is famously anti-gold.)

Turns out Buffett had invested nearly $600,000,000 — that’s $600 million — in gold miner Barrick Gold, stock ticker GOLD… not in gold directly.

Now, let's ignore the fact that gold and gold miners are not the same thing.

Let's also ignore the fact that while $600,000,000 could set a normal Joe up for several lifetimes, it's literally less than a drop in the bucket to Warren Buffett.

Let's just look at that investment, which he made in mid-2020.

The following chart shows the performance of GOLD from around the time Buffet bought to the present. A red box highlights approximately where Buffett would have gotten in.
 
As anyone can see, GOLD hasn't risen more than about 10% since he made the investment.

And since it peaked, it’s come down quite a bit — as much as 30 or 40%.

For any regular trader who followed the mainstream headlines, they might have invested near the top and — even with today's surging gold prices — haven't come anywhere near recouping their investment… even if you count dividends.

Or take Apple (AAPL) stock.

Earlier this year, the news made a huge deal of the fact that Buffett was selling AAPL stock hand over fist.

His company, Berkshire-Hathaway, sold off $21 billion worth of AAPL stock in the first quarter 2024 — this after having already sold more than $1.5 billion in the last quarter of 2023.

To add to the intrigue, AAPL stock was by far Berkshire-Hathaway’s biggest holding, making up over 50% of the entire portfolio.

"Is Buffett bearish on AAPL?" the headlines read.

Anyone following the surface mainstream narrative might have gone out and sold all their AAPL shares.

And the fact that Apple had been experiencing a little turbulence after being the first company to hit the $3 trillion market cap mark back in July 2023 certainly didn't help.

After hitting that milestone, the stock ran into some trouble, bumping its head more than once on an invisible $200-per-share glass ceiling for nearly a year, from July 2023 to June 2024.

It wasn't until a month ago — June 11 — that AAPL definitively broke through the $200 per share mark and quickly raced higher, taking back the crown of the most valuable company in the world and also becoming the first in the world to reach a $3.5 trillion market cap.

Even with today’s sell-off in the broad market, it currently sits above 228.

So why is Uncle Warren so rich if he's just going around making foolish trades?

For that, we refer back to the beginning of this article where we pointed out that Buffett has a whole different set of problems than traders like us — so Buffett can't trade like us nor should we try to trade like him.

In the case of the GOLD buy, it's possible that Buffett bought the stock simply for the dividend. Maybe he's selling covered calls against the stock. Or maybe he has some other trick up his sleeve — we simply don't know.

Or in the case of the AAPL sale, Warren himself later said that Berkshire was taking advantage of historically low tax rates to sell.

So, before you blindly follow Uncle Warren's trades — or any mainstream name, for that matter — remember that their goals, scale, and strategies are vastly different from the average trader.


— The Prosperity Pub Team
 
 
[REVEALED] The AVGO Stock Split Blueprint

Take one of Jack Carter’s favorite stocks…

Use it with what he calls “the most powerful trading strategy ever”…

Throw in one of the year's hottest stock splits… you'll end up with a powerhouse cash generation blueprint!


Click here to watch Jack’s AVGO Stock Spilt Summit!
SCOTT WELSH’S TICKER TALES
COOP Climbing
 

The breakout traders aren’t saying, “Booooo!”

They’re saying, “Coooooop!”

And it’s because Mr. Cooper Group (COOP) has been on a hot streak for months and now is nearing a breakout level.

Here’s the chart:

 
 

The mortgage services stock has been rising due to hopes of interest rate cuts and now it’s sprinting toward a breakout level on “good” inflation news that’s just come out.

A break above $84.50 could lead to a big move. 

We’ll keep an eye on it.

Happy trading,
— Scott Welsh

P.S. As a reminder, these plays are based on my longer-term Weinstein Stage Analysis method. The charts above use weekly candles and a 30 week simple moving average. For details on this method, see my explanation on this Ask The Pros episode starting at timestamp 20:45.

 
   
 

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