Hey y’all,
Today’s NVDA Earnings Roundtable at 2:30 PM ET is one of the most important trading events I’ve ever hosted!
So make sure you’re registered here
Now, let’s chat about what to expect from NVDA today…
Because as I talked about yesterday, the whole market really could be hanging in the balance ahead of today’s earnings call.
And there’s a reason that NVDA can have this impact in a way that even powerhouses like AAPL and AMZN cannot.
See, you probably know NVDA is the second most valuable company in the world right now:
But it’s fundamentally different from the other stocks in the top 5.
NVDA’s valuation is extremely speculative in a way that Apple and Google are not.
The thinking basically goes:
A.I. is the future of the human race →
NVDA is essential to the proliferation of A.I. →
Therefore, NVDA is and will remain one of the most important companies/investments in the world.
To be honest, I largely agree with that thinking.
But there’s a clear problem with it:
Because A.I. speculation drives so much of NVDA’s trade value, that means ANY threat to NVDA’s dominance or A.I.’s expansion can massively impact NVDA’s stock price.
And this isn’t just a DeepSeek phenomenon — in fact, eight of the ten worst days in market history have all happened since April 2024, and all eight of those were with NVDA stock:
So will NVDA have another record day after this evening’s earnings report?
That’s why we’ve called together today’s roundtable event — to answer that exact question and get our traders’ real money trade ideas for how to play the market.
Here are a couple more factoids you should know:
- Historically, NVDA’s post-earnings performance has been positive 55-58% of the time… Barely more than a coin flip
- The median positive post-earnings move is around +4.9%
- The median negative post-earnings move is around -5.9%
- And the options market is currently pricing in a move of around 7-8% post-earnings
Whether that move is positive or negative is anyone’s guess — Lance, Jack, Graham, Nate, Kane, and Roger will be joining me LIVE at 2:30 PM Eastern to share their thoughts.
Save your seat here
See you soon,
Stephen Ground
Editor-in-Chief, ProsperityPub
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