الجمعة، 11 أبريل 2025

The Whiplash Week From Hell

Don Kaufman here.

I've been watching markets since volatility was measured in points rather than percentages, and what I saw this week is genuinely alarming - not the wild price swings themselves, but what's happening beneath the surface.

Sure the SPX closed up 95 points, but people, that simply does not matter because this has been a marketplace from rally to rollover.

It has been the whiplash week from hell.

Here's what you need to know right now:

SHOCKING LIQUIDITY CRISIS: We're seeing 3-9 contracts on the bid/offer when there should be HUNDREDS (I froze my screen to show viewers because it's almost unbelievable)

THE VIX DECEPTION: If you're only looking at VIX, you're doing yourself a huge disservice - volatility futures are actually HIGHER while markets rally (this never happens in healthy markets)

BOND VOLATILITY AT FINANCIAL CRISIS LEVELS: One of the biggest peaks in bond volatility ever - the only comparison is 2008 (and I've been tracking this for decades)

THE DOLLAR COLLAPSE: It's bleeding more volatility back into equity markets while gold makes one of the largest breaches outside an expected move I've seen in 10 years

When you open up a 180-day 4-hour chart and see this volatility, it's mind-boggling.

We had months of trading where markets didn't move 130-140 points, and now we're doing it in a couple of hours.

CLICK HERE to watch my full breakdown of this "Whiplash Week From Hell" and what to expect next week

I say this without hesitation or equivocation - we have significant liquidity issues.

The market-making firms are not stepping in with size. They're stepping in with next to nothing because they're "deathly afraid of getting whipsawed."

To your success,

Don Kaufman

P.S. Next week features a $240+ expected move in just 4 days (markets closed for Good Friday), plus it's monthly options expiration. That's equivalent to trading in 43-44 VIX territory - and the professional world still isn't putting down their hedges.

P.P.S. Given the crazy volatility we've seen in the market lately, TheoTrade Market Masters Live Trading Room, is available Monday thru Friday, and it's absolutely free. Click here to sign up.

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