الاثنين، 27 يناير 2025

DeepSeek, TikTok, and the dawn of the Tech Cold War

Where is the line between prosperity and security?
 
   
     
   
 
JANUARY 27, 2025
   
 
 
Editor's Note: The QQQ Bloodbath this morning has traders on edge. We hosted a LIVE roundtable today with most of our top experts to address it. Check it out here. 
 
 


Hey y’all,

The world changes pretty quick. 

This morning, I had to get educated fast on an app called DeepSeek, which, to be perfectly honest, I hadn’t heard of until it was dominating every tech and trading headline on the internet today.

What I’ve learned is this:

DeepSeek launched in 2023, and it claims to have developed a large-language model to rival ChatGPT at the cost of just $6 million.

The QQQ plummeted this morning as investors reevaluated their valuation of American tech companies — after all, if this Chinese startup could develop a rival so quickly for so little money, maybe Silicon Valley isn’t all it's cracked up to be.

 
 
(that’s the hourly chart pulled at 10:11 AM ET)
DeepSeek has also moved into first place on Apple’s app download charts, surpassing ChatGPT in the process.

Now, with major tech earnings coming up over the next two weeks, plus a new Fed meeting kicking off tomorrow, we’re seeing a new wave of panic come across Wall Street.

I’m currently talking with Nate and other experts about how to get you all an instant action plan, and we hosted a LIVE roundtable to give you our top expert insightscatch them all here.

In the meantime, there’s a bigger question about DeepSeek, which is how long it will be allowed to operate in the U.S. market at all.

The quick dominance of another Chinese company draws obvious parallels to TikTok, which the U.S. government has threatened with shutdown if it doesn’t divest itself of Chinese ownership (and, more importantly, Chinese Communist Party (CCP) influence). 

Let’s be perfectly clear: if it emerges that DeepSeek, like TikTok, is a thinly veiled attempt for the CCP to gather information and control in the U.S. market, it will be shut down.

Given the price and timetable DeepSeek is claiming for developing its model, I think it’s fair to be more than a little suspicious. 

Are DeepSeek following a not-so-hidden pattern of Chinese companies stealing tech and intel from American and other international businesses? Or are they being secretly supported and accelerated by the CCP? 

Either feels very possible.

 

Personally, I feel conflicted about these kinds of things.

On the one hand, I’m about as “free market capitalist” as it gets, and part of me thinks that if TikTok can build a better algorithm or DeepSeek can build better AI, then so be it, let them dominate.

But the truth is, these businesses are being intentionally weaponized by the biggest adversarial player on the world stage. 

And the United States probably shouldn’t stand by and allow that to happen. 

There’s a tech cold war emerging, and while it isn’t proven yet, I’d assume DeepSeek is another strategy in China’s opening salvo.

The U.S. will rightfully need to protect itself in that outcome.

As for us as traders, monitor the situation closely, but I wouldn’t race to divest of your AI investments just because there’s a shiny new toy on the Apple app store. It might not be around for very long.

To your prosperity,

Stephen Ground
Editor-in-Chief, ProsperityPub

 
 
   
 

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