December rundown

Also: what’s the second best Christmas movie?

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DECEMBER 3, 2024       Howdy y’all! I thought to kick off the month of December, as far as trading is concerned, I’d give a little preview of some key dates and things to prepare for in the month to come. Then, we’ll have a discussion about what the second best Christmas movie is (because the best isn’t up for debate). If you like this format, let me know, and I’ll bring it back every month!   Key Dates for December • Tuesday, 12/3: JOLTs Job Openings • Wednesday, 12/4, 1:00 PM ET: Geof Smith shares his #1 breakout stock for 2025* • Friday, 12/6: Non Farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate • Wednesday, 12/11: CPI • Thursday, 12/12: PPI • Wednesday, 12/18: Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (2:00 PM) and Press Conference (2:30 PM) • Friday, 12/20: Core PCE • Tuesday, 12/24: Christmas Eve, markets close at 1:00 PM 🎅 • Wednesday, 12/25: Christmas Day, Markets closed 🎄 * Note: A year ago, 12/7/2023, Geof Smith released his big, bold prediction that 2024 would be the year of the Gold Supercycle — and we saw the best year for gold since 1979! Now, he’s gonna share his breakout pick for the year ahead — sign up here to save a seat! This will be an interesting month with the Fed decision coming a week ahead of Christmas. The right dominoes falling at the right time could create a heck of a Santa Claus Rally — but I think it’s too soon to count on anything yet.   Are Santa Claus Rallies Real? Speaking of Kris Kringle, you’ve probably heard about the “Santa Claus Rally” before, but what is it, really? Well, in short, it’s the theory that stocks consistently go UP in the final weeks of the year, leading up to or following up on the Christmas holiday (depending on who you ask). Now, of course, it doesn’t have anything to do with the holiday per se (strong retail sales numbers from the holidays wouldn’t be reflected until Q1 earnings reports), but it’s a fun name for a phenomenon — but does it really happen?   This graphic from 2018 shows us that we typically see a Santa Claus Rally effect three out of every four years. A 75% success rate is pretty conclusive when it comes to trading, so we should generally expect that these rallies will come to pass. With that said, I’m not sure it can do a ton to inform your trading strategy, because it’s such a general phenomenon. Perhaps a “rising tide lifts all ships sleighs” mindset is the right one here though!   The Second Best Christmas Movie Let’s close with this discussion: what’s the second-best Christmas movie? I ask for “second” best because obviously, Home Alone takes the top spot — that’s really not up for debate…   The score by John Williams. The incredible comedy dynamic of Joe Pesci and Macaulay Culkin. The poetic redemption arc of Mr. Marley? It’s all just perfect. But the options for #2 are plentiful. I’ve got a soft spot for It’s a Wonderful Life, I love all versions of The Grinch, and I’ll be honest, after being a pessimist for a few years, Elf is really rising up my rankings. But what’s YOUR #1? All jokes aside, there’s no wrong choice for your favorite Christmas Movie… So I thought it’d be fun to create this quick survey and get you to share your favorites! And I also threw in a chance for you to ask our experts your Q&A questions! Fill it out if you get a chance — I think it’ll be fun! But before you do, let me clarify: I said there was no wrong answer, but there actually is. Die Hard isn’t a Christmas movie. So if you put that down, we can’t be friends. 😉   To your prosperity, Stephen Ground

DECEMBER 3, 2024 Howdy y’all!   I thought to kick off the month of December, as far as trading is concerned, I’d give a little preview of some key dates and things to prepare for in the month to come.   Then, we’ll have a discussion about what the second best Christmas movie is (because the best isn’t up for debate).   If you like this format, let me know, and I’ll bring it back every month!   Key Dates for December Tuesday, 12/3: JOLTs Job Openings Wednesday, 12/4, 1:00 PM ET: Geof Smith shares his #1 breakout stock for 2025* Friday, 12/6: Non Farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate Wednesday, 12/11: CPI Thursday, 12/12: PPI Wednesday, 12/18: Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (2:00 PM) and Press Conference (2:30 PM) Friday, 12/20: Core PCE Tuesday, 12/24: Christmas Eve, markets close at 1:00 PM 🎅 Wednesday, 12/25: Christmas Day, Markets closed 🎄 * Note: A year ago, 12/7/2023, Geof Smith released his big, bold prediction that 2024 would be the year of the Gold Supercycle — and we saw the best year for gold since 1979! Now, he’s gonna share his breakout pick for the year ahead — sign up here to save a seat!   This will be an interesting month with the Fed decision coming a week ahead of Christmas. The right dominoes falling at the right time could create a heck of a Santa Claus Rally — but I think it’s too soon to count on anything yet.   Are Santa Claus Rallies Real? Speaking of Kris Kringle, you’ve probably heard about the “Santa Claus Rally” before, but what is it, really? Well, in short, it’s the theory that stocks consistently go UP in the final weeks of the year, leading up to or following up on the Christmas holiday (depending on who you ask).   Now, of course, it doesn’t have anything to do with the holiday per se (strong retail sales numbers from the holidays wouldn’t be reflected until Q1 earnings reports), but it’s a fun name for a phenomenon — but does it really happen?   This graphic from 2018 shows us that we typically see a Santa Claus Rally effect three out of every four years.   A 75% success rate is pretty conclusive when it comes to trading, so we should generally expect that these rallies will come to pass.   With that said, I’m not sure it can do a ton to inform your trading strategy, because it’s such a general phenomenon.   Perhaps a “rising tide lifts all ships sleighs” mindset is the right one here though!   The Second Best Christmas Movie Let’s close with this discussion: what’s the second-best Christmas movie?   I ask for “second” best because obviously, Home Alone takes the top spot — that’s really not up for debate…   The score by John Williams. The incredible comedy dynamic of Joe Pesci and Macaulay Culkin. The poetic redemption arc of Mr. Marley? It’s all just perfect.   But the options for #2 are plentiful.   I’ve got a soft spot for It’s a Wonderful Life, I love all versions of The Grinch, and I’ll be honest, after being a pessimist for a few years, Elf is really rising up my rankings.   But what’s YOUR #1?   All jokes aside, there’s no wrong choice for your favorite Christmas Movie…   So I thought it’d be fun to create this quick survey and get you to share your favorites! And I also threw in a chance for you to ask our experts your Q&A questions!   Fill it out if you get a chance — I think it’ll be fun!   But before you do, let me clarify: I said there was no wrong answer, but there actually is. Die Hard isn’t a Christmas movie. So if you put that down, we can’t be friends. 😉   To your prosperity,   Stephen Ground

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ABOUT US:  We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Prosperity Pub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from Prosperity Pub are for your informational purposes only. Neither Prosperity Pub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. Prosperity Pub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions.  Please visit https://prosperitypub.com/terms-conditions/ for our full Terms and Conditions.   Unsubscribe This email was sent to phanxuanhoa60.trade1357@blogger.com by Prosperity Pub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318, Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States Prosperity Pub