Friday, 4 April 2025

Market Meltdown Alert: What You Need to Know Before Monday

Don Kaufman here.

I've been navigating markets since the collapse of Long-Term Capital Management in 1998, and what happened on April 4th, 2025, was truly extraordinary.

Here's a quick breakdown of this historic day:

S&P 500 plunged 5.9%
NASDAQ entered bear market territory (down over 20% from its high)
Volatility skyrocketed to levels we haven't seen since the COVID crash

Here's what you need to prepare for as we head into next week:

WARNING: Redemption selling could crush markets on Monday
- Retail investors panicking out of mutual funds could trigger a cascade of institutional selling to start the week.
The significance of Friday's move
- We just experienced a rare "three sigma" event. The worst of the volatility shock may be over, but that doesn't mean we've hit bottom.
The Dollar's message during global panic
- When fear takes over, there's one currency the world runs to (hint: it's not the Euro or Yuan).
The financial sector is flashing serious warning signs
- Weakness here could escalate into a larger crisis for major institutions.
Energy's collapse reveals deeper economic trouble
- This isn't just about tariffs anymore. Markets are grappling with signs of fundamental economic disruption.

I'm seeing alarming correlations and fear metrics that typically appear near market bottoms. But the financial sector's weakness makes this moment especially precarious. When clearing firms start worrying about counterparty risk, things can spiral fast.

CLICK HERE to watch my full analysis of Friday's market action and what it could mean for Monday.

The SPX is projecting a jaw-dropping $300 expected move over the next 7 days—double last week's expectations (and we tripled that!).

This kind of volatility creates enormous opportunities, but only if you have the right strategies.

Blind bearish bets won't cut it. Inefficient markets reward those who know where to look.

To your success,
Don Kaufman

P.S. The kind of volatility we're seeing is rare and full of opportunities. My team and I are trading it live every day in the TheoTrade Market Masters Live Trading Room—it's free, and you can join us Monday through Friday. Click here to sign up.

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