Friday, 31 January 2025

A Major Move Is Coming — How Trump’s Policies Could Knock Oil Down to $50

Join me at 9:15 a.m. ET for “Morning Monster”!
 
   
     
AAPL Earnings Reaction
 
 
First, don’t miss today’s Daily Chart Setup trade idea down lower in this newsletter! And a quick note…

Also, I launched a beta for a new idea to get option-like gains only buying shares — yes, you read that right! The only way to be in the beta is to be a member of Turnmire Trading Labs. If interested, call (321) 888-3962 and they’ll get you sorted out.

AAPL reported earnings AFTER the close yesterday.  PCE Numbers are out tomorrow before the open. 


Come join me as we dive in and see what’s moving!

Plus, as always, we have stocks popping and dropping so come find out what is moving this morning as I look for stocks and do some live premarket analysis on SPX, SPY, NDX, QQQ, Russell, IWM and other stocks that are potential plays for the day. 

 
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A Major Move Is Coming — How Trump’s Policies Could Knock Oil Down to $50

Oil is struggling, and if Donald Trump has his way, prices could go a lot lower. 

That’s not speculation — it’s what he wants. Trump has made it clear he’d prefer oil to drop so he can refill the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at a discount. And if he pulls the right strings, we could see crude dive to $50 a barrel.

That’s a major shift for a commodity that spent most of last year bouncing between $70 and $90. Energy sector (XLE) stocks could take a hit if crude keeps sliding.

The Path to $50

Oil has been showing weakness, unable to sustain any serious move higher. Every rally gets knocked down, and now we’re sitting in a range where one bad break could send crude tumbling. Technically, $50 is the next major support level if the selling pressure accelerates.

Fundamentally, demand isn't surging, and supply isn’t tight enough to force a squeeze higher. Add in the possibility of Trump pushing for lower prices to refill reserves, and the setup for a sharp decline is there.

Winners and Losers

A major oil drop could create some clear winners and losers in the market.

 
Winners: Airlines, transport stocks and companies with high energy costs would benefit. Think of names like Delta Air Lines (DAL) and FedEx (FDX), which see their margins improve when fuel costs drop. Consumer Discretionary (XLY) stocks could also get a lift as lower gas prices put more money in consumers' pockets.
 
Losers: Oil and gas producers would be the obvious casualties. If crude crashes, stocks like ExxonMobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX) could struggle. The Energy sector (XLE) as a whole could see a sharp downturn, especially if companies start cutting capital expenditures… which would make the sector ripe for shorts.
 
The big question of course is just how low can oil go? 

If Trump pushes policies that favor lower oil prices, crude could keep sliding. The key question is whether OPEC will step in to prop up prices or let the market dictate the next move. 

Either way, traders should be watching crude closely — a major move is coming.

Now be sure to join me live at 9:15 a.m. ET for “Morning Monster,” my market-open livestream on YouTube!

 
 
‘Morning Monster’ Is Starting NOW!
I’m also live at 5 p.m. ET on Tuesdays for “30 Minutes of Awesome” — bring your ticker and I’ll analyze it in real time!

And be sure to hit that Subscribe button on my YouTube page!
_____________________________________________________
Most Traders Were Blindsided by Monday’s Sell-Off
 
 
Monday’s market sell-off caught most traders off guard — especially those relying on news and sentiment. 

Nvidia alone lost nearly $600 billion in market cap, all thanks to rising competition from China’s Deepseek. 

But while most traders panicked, my Apollo Smart Algo was already signaling breakouts. 

This algorithm — which I’ve spent months coding to scan hundreds of stocks — has been averaging 3.2 wins per day over the last six months, delivering automatic trade alerts with zero oversight needed. 

Unlike manual trading, which leaves you vulnerable to surprises, Apollo spots high-probability setups before they happen. 

While no strategy guarantees future results, this could be the edge traders need in today’s market.

 
 
See for Yourself!
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Today’s Daily Chart Setup: Rollins Inc. (ROL) 
 
 
 

This idea came directly from my Daily Chart Setup that automatically signals potential plays. 
 
ROL is a new potential entry. Target: 53.14 Stop below: 44.34
 
ROL has a historical win rate of 95.83%
 
ROL has a profit factor of 3.486
 
ROL trades last 95 trading days on average over 48 trades since 1968.
 
See the secret behind these signals here!  

This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. Always remember that past performance is not indicative of future results.


How the Daily Chart Setup Works

Here’s a more detailed description of how the pattern triggers:
 
1. The price breaks upward through the orange Market Roadmap Line. 

2. Then the price goes up and down while staying above the line. Eventually, it comes down to touch the line again — this could take days, weeks or even months. 

3. Once it touches the line and starts moving back up, that signals an entry. 

I use Fibonacci levels for for profit targets and stop losses, and these two tools combined have helped me achieve a 77% win rate over the past six-plus years!

You can grab my Market Roadmap Indicator here for just $5 — less than a cup of coffee at most places!
Jeffry Turnmire
Jeffry Turnmire Trading

I host my “Morning Monster” livestream at 9:15 a.m. ET each weekday on YouTube, and then “30 Minutes of Awesome” at 5 p.m. ET each Tuesday!

Please check out my channel and hit that Subscribe button!

I’m just a regular dude in Knoxville, Tennessee: a husband, father, civil engineer, urban farmer, maker and trader.

I've been at this trading thing with real money for 20-plus years, and started paper trading over 35 years ago. I have a knack for making some epic predictions that just may very well come true. Why share them? Because I like helping other people — it's the Eagle Scout in me. 


*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. 
   
 

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