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I Do This Instead of Options on Leveraged ETFs, and an Idea for 116% Overnight ROI Hey, Graham Lindman here… My brand-new Newton indicator earlier this week showed momentum in the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) was shifting from green to yellow, which means watch out for a downturn. So today, I thought I’d touch on how to trade this kind of momentum shift — and offer a free trade idea at the end! In the roller-coaster world of trading, where high stakes often lead to high rewards, leveraged ETFs like SQQQ — which should rise when the QQQ falls and vice versa, but rise and fall three times as much — often promise the moon but deliver less than stellar results. From my experience, these funds can be a trap for unwary investors. They claim to offer amplified returns, but often, they don't perform as expected — particularly SQQQ, which I find underwhelming on both ends of the market spectrum. Leveraged ETFs are designed to deliver multiples of the daily performance of the indexes they track. In theory, a 3x leveraged ETF should provide three times the daily return of its underlying index. However, in practice, this isn't always the case... These funds tend to underperform significantly during market rallies and drop even more precipitously during declines. This asymmetric performance makes them particularly risky for unwary traders. For example, take the TQQQ, the 3x leveraged counterpart of the QQQ index. Over the last four to five years, while QQQ, the ETF that tracks the Nasdaq 100, has reached multiple all-time highs, TQQQ has struggled to meet these benchmarks. This disparity in performance underscores the inherent risks and volatility associated with leveraged ETFs. For traders who like to play the market's ups and downs, a more effective strategy for my money is to use these ETFs contrarily. When you expect the market to tumble, consider shorting TQQQ instead of going long on SQQQ. Conversely, when you expect a rally, shorting SQQQ could be more profitable than betting on its rise. The reason? These ETFs tend to fall faster than they rise, despite supposedly offering symmetrical leverage. In reality, the leverage effect often feels skewed — more like 2.8 times on the upside and like 3.5 times on the downside, in my experience. This discrepancy can lead to unexpected losses if one is not careful. Ultimately, while leveraged ETFs like SQQQ and TQQQ can be tempting for their high-return promise, they require a cautious approach. The key to trading them successfully is understanding their unique behavior under different market conditions and not getting caught by surprise when they fail to perform as advertised. As always in trading, protecting your capital is as important as growing it, and knowing when to enter and exit these positions is crucial. Now, about growing some capital… Thursday Trade Idea With the market softening, I’m looking to trade the Russell 2000 (IWM) to the downside for the overnight move. Don’t Miss Jack Carter’s Top 10 Trade Ideas for the Month With the recent $140 billion Chinese stimulus boosting various sectors and stocks… The Fed rate cuts freeing up more money… A new slate of earnings lifting sentiment and opening up opportunities… And Wall Street tossing money around like crazy before this heated presidential election… October could be the BEST trading month of 2024! So trading veteran Jack Carter is sharing TEN of his top trade ideas with you LIVE at 1 p.m. ET TODAY, Oct. 3! And as a special bonus, market genius Chris Pulver is revealing his China stocks watchlist to you after Beijing’s HUGE stimulus boom. We can’t promise results or against losses, but I can promise this is a LIVE, FREE briefing you don’t want to miss! Graham Lindman Graham Lindman Trading Follow along and join the conversation for real-time analysis, trade ideas, market insights and more! Telegram: https://t.me/+abM5RWRJKrpkNWI5 Also check out my website at: https://grahamlindman.com/! *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. Disclaimer: The material in this document is for informational purposes based on our proprietary research. It is not an offering, specific recommendation, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities mentioned or discussed herein. Any performance results discussed herein represent past performance, are not a guarantee of future performance, and are not indicative of any specific investment. Due to the timing of information presented, any investment performance reflected within this document may be adjusted after the publication and distribution of this material. There can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product made reference to directly or indirectly in this communication will be profitable, be equal to any corresponding indicated historical performance levels or be suitable for your portfolio. Any investment results set forth in this document are not net of expenses and execution costs, nor do they account for other relevant trading or investment fees. Please visit thetradingpub.com/terms-of-service/ for our full Terms and Conditions. |
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