Wednesday, 2 April 2025

The Big 3: A Market on the Move

Don Kaufman here.

I just wrapped up a great session with Nicole Petallides for "The Big 3" segment.

Three stocks, three charts, three trades - and one volatile market that's keeping us all on our toes.

Here's what I'm seeing right now:

The VIX is telling a different story than the headlines - While everyone's focused on tariffs, I'm watching a fascinating backwardation in volatility that could present a major opportunity
Why short-term volatility is extraordinarily high - Yet the 30-day VIX isn't at extreme levels (still only around 22, not 30, 40, or 50)
Looking beyond today's April 2nd news - The real risk emerges in the coming days with retaliation scenarios and Friday's jobs numbers

In the segment, I broke down:

A bullish VIX play using the April 16th expiration - buying the 25 calls, selling the 30 calls for around $0.55
Why Costco's bounce from $880 to $950 is setting up a perfect fade opportunity with a defined risk position
The specific reason Meta is likely to underperform other mega-caps if we see more market selling

WARNING: This is the quintessential two-sided market!

Between potential tariff retaliation and Friday's jobs numbers, we're looking at serious volatility in both directions. This isn't the time for guesswork - it's the time for defined risk positions and strategically picking your entry points.

CLICK HERE TO WATCH THE FULL SEGMENT

As I mentioned on air - this is exactly the kind of volatility I love. Not necessarily bearish, but definitely presenting opportunities for those who understand how to navigate choppy waters.

To your success,

Don Kaufman

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