Tuesday, 18 February 2025

3 Signs It's Time to Sell Your Small Cap

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3 Signs It's Time to Sell Your Small-Cap Stocks

Robert Ross

Robert Ross
Speculative Assets Specialist

My speculative trading service Breakout Fortunes has pulled in eight double-digit winners in the past year.

Hims & Hers Health (HIMS), for example, is up OVER 150% since I recommended the stock in July of last year...

Hims & Hers Health Market Summary

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Making money in the market is hard. But keeping it is even harder, especially for volatile small cap stocks.

That's why I developed a simple exit strategy framework that has saved - and made me - tons of money in my career.

Here's how it works.

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The Trend Is Your Friend

The first step is to ride the trend until it shows signs of weakness.

As long as the stock continues its upward momentum and the technical picture looks strong, hold your position.

However, be ready to take action when the market tells you it's time.

For that, I wait until the stock falls below a key moving average or breaks a significant level of support.

Think of it like driving a car: if you see the road starting to curve or notice a red light ahead, you slow down and prepare to adjust.

It's the same with stocks. When the technicals start to break down, that's your cue to reconsider your position.

Now, I want to take you a bit deeper with something called Stage Analysis (see the graphic below).

I track the trajectory and shape of the 200-day simple moving average. When it starts to flatten, like we see in "Stage 3," I get cautious. When it turns down, I smash the sell button.

Stage Analysis - Trajectory and shape of the 200-day simple moving average

View larger image

Volume Tells the Story

Next, pay attention to volume.

Volume is the lifeblood of any stock movement. Without it, price action is often weak and unsustainable.

If you see massive volume but the stock isn't making new highs, or even worse, the stock is making new highs on low volume, that's a red flag.

When volume spikes but doesn't correspond with rising prices, it's often a sign that the price move isn't supported by genuine investor interest. This kind of behavior usually signals that the trend is running out of steam.

Be wary in these situations. A stock surge on low volume or without significant buying pressure tends to correct sharply.

Keep an Eye on Your Neighbors (Digital and Otherwise)

Another useful tool in your decision-making process is social sentiment.

We've all seen the frenzy that happens on platforms like Twitter or X when a stock gets too much attention.

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Take MicroStrategy (MSTR), for example.

When you see a stock being hyped to the moon and everyone's talking about it, that's often a sign that the stock may be overheated.

Social sentiment can be a great leading indicator. And it's easy for me to assess since I have over 500,000 social media followers.

When I see everyone in my audience talking about a stock, whether on the web or in real life, that's often a sign that the hype is nearing its peak. It doesn't necessarily mean the stock will drop immediately. But it does suggest that the market might be getting overly optimistic.

More often than not, the most extreme levels of hype precede sharp reversals. So, when the buzz is at its loudest, it might be time to start thinking about cashing in.

Ask Yourself: "Would I Buy This Stock Now?"

Finally, the most important indicator is your own psychology.

You might be sitting on some great gains, but ask yourself this simple question: "If I didn't already own this stock, would I buy it at the current price?"

If your gut answer is no, that's often a sign that it's time to sell.

Trust your instincts here.

When the excitement has worn off or you're no longer feeling the same level of enthusiasm for the stock at its current price, it's usually a good indication that the trade has run its course.

Selling at the right time often comes down to recognizing that the opportunity isn't as attractive as it once was.

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The Bottom Line: Protect Your Profits

Investing isn't just about making gains. It's about knowing when to protect them.

If you're holding onto a stock and the technical picture starts to break down, volume doesn't support the move, social sentiment is overheated, or you're simply not excited about buying more at the current price, it's time to consider taking profits.

Remember, successful investing isn't about capturing every last penny of a stock's run. You will never time the top or bottom of a trade perfectly.

It's about having the discipline to exit when the time is right.

Stick to your strategy, trust your instincts, and know when it's time to take your hard-earned gains off the table. The most successful investors know that preserving capital is just as important as growing it.

Be disciplined, patient, and most importantly, focused on your long-term goals.

Stay safe out there,

Robert

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