I think we’re all tired

It’s Friday. It’s a three-day weekend. Time for a break.

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AUGUST 30, 2024       Hey y’all! Is anybody else just tired?  Maybe it’s because I stayed up too late last night, then woke up early to drive a dear friend to the airport, but when I think about the markets today, all I can think about is fatigue… And while I might need about six more cups of coffee, I don’t think it’s just me.  When I take a look at this, I think other people feel it, too…   A lot of muted, blah colors on that chart. Tech is doing well, but not well enough to save my QQQ trades. It makes me think of that Revelation quote: “would that you were either hot or cold. But because you are lukewarm… blech…” (That’s not quite how the quote ends but I think it fits today) Doesn’t the exhaustion make sense, though? Nobody really feels confident about the economy right now. Sure, the PCE print was good, which all but confirms price cuts are coming, but price cuts have been priced in for months now. Nobody really believes that the economy is “healthy,” despite what the Fed might be saying. I think the vast majority of Americans, despite what you see on Twitter, aren’t really fired up about either Presidential candidate and their visions for the future. It’s just a very lukewarm time right now. And when it comes to trading, I think that means you have to be especially careful not to get suckered into narratives.  My personal expectation now is that we’re going to stay relatively flat until the election. I’m not sure what will happen after that, but I don’t think we’re going to see a rally, because I don’t see what could spark one.  Rate cuts won’t do it. They’re already priced in.  NVDA reported mind-boggling earnings numbers this week and the markets went lower. Everyone seems to be looking for reasons to stay cautious. Not too hot. Not too cold. Lukewarm.  But a sideways market doesn’t mean you have to stay on the sidelines. There are a lot of smart things you can do. One thing our experts recommend? What Graham Lindman calls “wrap orders,” or, more technically, At-the-Money Credit Spreads. Directional credit spreads are especially powerful in sideways markets, because they limit your cost (spreads are generally significantly cheaper to get into than straight calls or puts) and protect you from downside risk (you’ll always know your max loss when entering), but they still give you significant upside potential if you’re right about direction. And with Graham’s approach, he says “we only typically need a 0.2 to 0.5% move in a week to get 100% ROI so not a lot of direction or upside needed.”  Geof Smith agrees with this approach, and we even got a chime in from a new expert I’m really excited to be welcoming to the ProsperityPub team: Chris Pulver! Here’s what he had to say:    So all of our experts agree: directional credit spreads are a great tool in sideways markets. But maybe don’t put any on before this weekend. It’s Labor Day. Relax and enjoy yourself. Then, come back refreshed on Tuesday! To your Prosperity, Stephen Ground  P.S.: Speaking of controlled trades targeting huge returns on small moves in the underlying stocks, have you heard about Nate Tucci’s Jump Trades? You should really check out the strategy here. Nate’s Jump Trade setup is actually the first options trade I ever took, so they’re definitely “beginner friendly.” And I’ve loved them ever since!

AUGUST 30, 2024 Hey y’all!   Is anybody else just tired?    Maybe it’s because I stayed up too late last night, then woke up early to drive a dear friend to the airport, but when I think about the markets today, all I can think about is fatigue…   And while I might need about six more cups of coffee, I don’t think it’s just me.    When I take a look at this, I think other people feel it, too…   A lot of muted, blah colors on that chart. Tech is doing well, but not well enough to save my QQQ trades.   It makes me think of that Revelation quote: “would that you were either hot or cold. But because you are lukewarm… blech…” (That’s not quite how the quote ends but I think it fits today)   Doesn’t the exhaustion make sense, though?   Nobody really feels confident about the economy right now. Sure, the PCE print was good, which all but confirms price cuts are coming, but price cuts have been priced in for months now.   Nobody really believes that the economy is “healthy,” despite what the Fed might be saying.   I think the vast majority of Americans, despite what you see on Twitter, aren’t really fired up about either Presidential candidate and their visions for the future.   It’s just a very lukewarm time right now.   And when it comes to trading, I think that means you have to be especially careful not to get suckered into narratives.    My personal expectation now is that we’re going to stay relatively flat until the election. I’m not sure what will happen after that, but I don’t think we’re going to see a rally, because I don’t see what could spark one.    Rate cuts won’t do it. They’re already priced in.    NVDA reported mind-boggling earnings numbers this week and the markets went lower.   Everyone seems to be looking for reasons to stay cautious. Not too hot. Not too cold. Lukewarm.    But a sideways market doesn’t mean you have to stay on the sidelines.   There are a lot of smart things you can do.   One thing our experts recommend? What Graham Lindman calls “wrap orders,” or, more technically, At-the-Money Credit Spreads.   Directional credit spreads are especially powerful in sideways markets, because they limit your cost (spreads are generally significantly cheaper to get into than straight calls or puts) and protect you from downside risk (you’ll always know your max loss when entering), but they still give you significant upside potential if you’re right about direction.   And with Graham’s approach, he says “we only typically need a 0.2 to 0.5% move in a week to get 100% ROI so not a lot of direction or upside needed.”    Geof Smith agrees with this approach, and we even got a chime in from a new expert I’m really excited to be welcoming to the ProsperityPub team: Chris Pulver!   Here’s what he had to say:    So all of our experts agree: directional credit spreads are a great tool in sideways markets.   But maybe don’t put any on before this weekend. It’s Labor Day. Relax and enjoy yourself.   Then, come back refreshed on Tuesday!   To your Prosperity,   Stephen Ground    P.S.: Speaking of controlled trades targeting huge returns on small moves in the underlying stocks, have you heard about Nate Tucci’s Jump Trades? You should really check out the strategy here. Nate’s Jump Trade setup is actually the first options trade I ever took, so they’re definitely “beginner friendly.” And I’ve loved them ever since!

ABOUT US:  We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Prosperity Pub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from Prosperity Pub are for your informational purposes only. Neither Prosperity Pub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. Prosperity Pub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions.  Please visit https://prosperitypub.com/terms-conditions/ for our full Terms and Conditions. Unsubscribe This email was sent to phanxuanhoa60.trade1357@blogger.com by Prosperity Pub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318, Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States Prosperity Pub

ABOUT US:  We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Prosperity Pub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from Prosperity Pub are for your informational purposes only. Neither Prosperity Pub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. Prosperity Pub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions.  Please visit https://prosperitypub.com/terms-conditions/ for our full Terms and Conditions.   Unsubscribe This email was sent to phanxuanhoa60.trade1357@blogger.com by Prosperity Pub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318, Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States Prosperity Pub